Pennsylvania
Can Democrats Avoid Their 10th Straight Loss in Arizona and Tennessee US Senate Races in 2018?
In the direct election era, parties in the midst of nine-election winning streaks have gone on to win a 10th consecutive contest in 42 of 47 attempts.
Read MoreHow Often Do Parties Flip US House Seats in Specials Where They Previously Did Not Field a Candidate?
With Lamb’s win, eight out of the last 26 U.S. House seats to flip have been in districts where the winning party did not recruit a nominee during the most recent election cycle.
Read MoreJill Stein and the 2016 Popular Vote Revisited
The numbers do not add up to support the claim that Russian efforts to sour voters on Hillary Clinton and vote for Stein flipped three key states to Trump.
Read MoreWill Alaska Elect Its 6th Consecutive Different Governor in 2018?
By contrast, one state’s voters have given each of its last 11 elected governors at least two terms in office dating back to the mid-1920s.
Read MoreHow Many US House Seats Will Pennsylvania Democrats Gain in 2018?
The party has only netted congressional seats in the Keystone State during just three of the last 26 general elections since 1966.
Read MoreNumber of Plurality-Winning US Senators Nears Century-Long High
Doug Jones’ victory last month brings the total of senators elected to the chamber with a plurality of the vote to 14 – tied for the most in 95+ years.
Read MoreCan Pennsylvania Democrats End Their Worst US House Streak in 85 Years?
The last time the party won less than 30 percent of U.S. House seats during a three-cycle stretch in the state was 1928-1930-1932.
Read MorePennsylvania to hold Nation-Leading 41st US House Special Election Since 1941
No state has held more special elections to the chamber since the year the U.S. entered WW II, and only four states have held them at a higher rate.
Read MoreThe New GOP US Senate Primary Targets
GOP U.S. Senators who faced bona fide renomination battles over the last four cycles averaged 74 years of age, were 28 years older than their opponent, and had served 24+ years in the chamber; not so in 2018.
Read MoreUS Representatives Not Lining Up to Flip Gubernatorial Seats in 2018
Only 1 of 49 U.S. Representatives are seeking to flip gubernatorial seats in states carried by their party’s presidential nominee last year.
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