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Pennsylvania

How Often Do Parties Flip US House Seats in Specials Where They Previously Did Not Field a Candidate?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 14, 2018 | 0

With Lamb’s win, eight out of the last 26 U.S. House seats to flip have been in districts where the winning party did not recruit a nominee during the most recent election cycle.

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Jill Stein and the 2016 Popular Vote Revisited

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 19, 2018 | 4

The numbers do not add up to support the claim that Russian efforts to sour voters on Hillary Clinton and vote for Stein flipped three key states to Trump.

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Will Alaska Elect Its 6th Consecutive Different Governor in 2018?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 4, 2018 | 5

By contrast, one state’s voters have given each of its last 11 elected governors at least two terms in office dating back to the mid-1920s.

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How Many US House Seats Will Pennsylvania Democrats Gain in 2018?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | January 24, 2018 | 0

The party has only netted congressional seats in the Keystone State during just three of the last 26 general elections since 1966.

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Number of Plurality-Winning US Senators Nears Century-Long High

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | January 17, 2018 | 4

Doug Jones’ victory last month brings the total of senators elected to the chamber with a plurality of the vote to 14 – tied for the most in 95+ years.

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Can Pennsylvania Democrats End Their Worst US House Streak in 85 Years?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 29, 2017 | 0

The last time the party won less than 30 percent of U.S. House seats during a three-cycle stretch in the state was 1928-1930-1932.

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Pennsylvania to hold Nation-Leading 41st US House Special Election Since 1941

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 11, 2017 | 0

No state has held more special elections to the chamber since the year the U.S. entered WW II, and only four states have held them at a higher rate.

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The New GOP US Senate Primary Targets

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 5, 2017 | 1

GOP U.S. Senators who faced bona fide renomination battles over the last four cycles averaged 74 years of age, were 28 years older than their opponent, and had served 24+ years in the chamber; not so in 2018.

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US Representatives Not Lining Up to Flip Gubernatorial Seats in 2018

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 18, 2017 | 1

Only 1 of 49 U.S. Representatives are seeking to flip gubernatorial seats in states carried by their party’s presidential nominee last year.

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Where Are All the Senate Bids by GOP US Representatives?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 11, 2017 | 2

Only one of the 73 Republican U.S. House members from Trump states with Democratic US Senators on the 2018 ballot has mounted a challenge.

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