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Posts Tagged ‘news’

US Representatives Not Lining Up to Flip Gubernatorial Seats in 2018

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 18, 2017 | 1
Photo of New Mexico U.S. Representative Michelle Lujan Grisham

Only 1 of 49 U.S. Representatives are seeking to flip gubernatorial seats in states carried by their party’s presidential nominee last year.

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Can Steve Pearce Give the New Mexico GOP Its First Gubernatorial Three-Peat?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 13, 2017 | 3
Photo of New Mexico U.S. Representative Steve Pearce

New Mexico Republicans have attempted to win a third consecutive gubernatorial election five times since statehood; all have failed (all with GOP presidents in office).

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Where Are All the Senate Bids by GOP US Representatives?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 11, 2017 | 2
Photo of West Virginia U.S. Representative Evan Jenkins

Only one of the 73 Republican U.S. House members from Trump states with Democratic US Senators on the 2018 ballot has mounted a challenge.

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Minnesota DFL Eyes Rare Competitive Gubernatorial Primary in 2018

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 9, 2017 | 1
Photo of Minnesota U.S. Representative Tim Walz

Just three of the party’s 23 primaries for governor since the merger 73 years ago have been decided by single digits.

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The Most Competitive States for US Senate Elections

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 5, 2017 | 0
Official seal of the State of North Carolina

Just seven states have had an average victory margin of less than 10 points over the last three decades with North Carolina leading the pack.

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2018 Could Have Fewest US Senate Retirements in Direct Election Era

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 30, 2017 | 4
Photo of North Dakota U.S. Senator Heidi Heitkamp

An average of seven senators have retired from the chamber each cycle during the past quarter-century; no incumbent up for reelection next year has yet closed the door on a 2018 bid.

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How Many Trump States Will Back Democratic US Senate Nominees in 2018?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 27, 2017 | 6
Official seal of the United States Senate

The 10 Trump states with Democratic incumbents have voted for senate nominees from the opposing party of the sitting president 62 percent of the time over the last 50 years.

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Ashford vs Bacon II: A History of Nebraska US House Rematch Elections

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 22, 2017 | 1
Photo of Nebraska U.S. Representative Brad Ashford

12 percent of Nebraska elections to the chamber have featured rematches between major party nominees; challengers have won 1 in 3 of these races but none in the last half-century.

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Parnell vs Norman: 3rd Closest South Carolina US House Race Since 1800s

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 21, 2017 | 1
Official seal of the State of South Carolina

In an unusually competitive race, Democrats failed to pick up a GOP-held seat in the Palmetto State for a nation-leading 61st election in a row.

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Georgia Hosts Rare Competitive US House Election with Ossoff-Handel Runoff

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 19, 2017 | 0
Official seat of the State of Georgia

Since 1964, the average victory margin in a Georgia U.S. House race has been 50 points; just 1 of the last 69 races since 2008 has been decided by less than five points.

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